Fire SeiryuuTier 2
at Ascent Kuala Lumpur
decks
9
(2.1% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
72
22-46-4
overall winrate
33.3%
ELO-adjusted winrate
34.6%
avg ELO -5.2 per match
expected value
42.6%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
43.7%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1125
· median 1132
· range 1077–1181
(9 pilots with an ELO rating)
905
Q1 1184
Q3 1396
1730
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
100% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Fractal | 20.8% | 11 | 4-6-1 | 40.9% | 43.3% | 45.3% | -2.1 |
| Water Genbu | 9.8% | 6 | 1-5-0 | 16.7% | 30.0% | 27.2% | -12.2 |
| Wind Allies | 9.4% | 7 | 5-2-0 | 71.4% | 63.6% | 66.2% | +8.2 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 8.2% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 54.6% | +4.4 |
| Fire Aggro | 7.6% | 6 | 2-3-1 | 41.7% | 45.0% | 42.4% | -4.0 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 6.2% | 4 | 2-2-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 52.1% | +1.4 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 6.2% | 5 | 0-5-0 | 0.0% | 22.2% | 21.3% | -16.5 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 5.5% | 7 | 0-6-1 | 7.1% | 22.7% | 27.8% | -11.2 |
| Fire Suzaku | 4.3% | 4 | 1-2-1 | 37.5% | 43.8% | 49.0% | -0.6 |
| Wind Luxem Zander | 2.7% | 5 | 1-4-0 | 20.0% | 33.3% | 37.0% | -7.5 |
| Fire Exia | 2.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 37.4% | -20.2 |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 1.8% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.8% | +0.8 |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 1.6% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 47.5% | -2.4 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 1.4% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.6% | +13.8 |
| Slimes | 1.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 35.6% | -23.0 |
| Water Allies | 1.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Arcane | 0.9% | 4 | 0-4-0 | 0.0% | 25.0% | 18.6% | -20.1 |
| Fire Byakko | 0.7% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.6% | +13.8 |
| Wind Byakko | 0.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Razorgale | 0.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Astra Cleric | 0.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Hybrid | 0.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Slimes | 0.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 61.2% | +17.9 |
| Fire Tera Diao Chan | 0.5% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 35.8% | -22.7 |
| Water Astra Cleric | 0.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Lorraine | 0.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Umbra Tristan | 0.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Cinderbloom Combo | 0.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 0.2% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 36.5% | -21.6 |
| Fire Crux Merlin | 0.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Dawn of Ashes | 0.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Polkhawk | 0.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Tera Cleric | 0.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Mage | 0.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Luxem Zander | 0.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Overlord | 0.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Mage | 0.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Mage | 0.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Diana | 0.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Diao Chan | 0.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Exia | 0.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Luxem Guo Jia | 0.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Neos | 0.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Neos Tonoris | 0.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Overlord | 0.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Slice & Dice | 0.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Umbra Ranger | 0.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 9 from this event
The 9 public Fire Seiryuu decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
